Internal Fertilization
Tariff adjustment of fertilizer prices may rebound – the price of fertilizer, coal chemicals – chemi
The fertilizer and fertilizer raw materials, export tariffs, the abolition of yellow phosphorus, phosphate rock, ammonia, phosphoric acid, ammonium chloride, triple superphosphate, compound fertilizer and other products of special export tariffs on yellow phosphorus to levy 20 % export tariff on other phosphorus, phosphate rock 10% -35% continue to levy provisional tariffs on exports of synthetic ammonia, phosphoric acid, ammonium chloride, triple superphosphate, compound fertilizer and other chemical products (including industrial use of chemical fertilizers ) 10% uniform levy provisional tariffs on exports. Extension of urea, monoammonium phosphate, diammonium phosphate export tariffs for off-season period, the urea export tax rate for extended off-season month, monoammonium phosphate, diammonium the off season to extend the export tax rate applicable to one and a half hours. <<<For more exciting Click here
Adjust export tariffs of some products in order to enhance competitiveness in the international market. Domestic chemical fertilizer market in March this year has been relatively weak demand, prices fell 11% urea, diammonium phosphate fell 30%. Domestic fertilizer production capacity surplus, exports absorb the surplus production capacity of the effective way to price this year as domestic and foreign upside down, developed agriculture and weaker demand, 1-April China exported 301,000 tons of urea, down 78.3%; exports P 471,000 tons, down 40.1%.
See from the policy itself, the reduction in export tariffs in line with expectations, while the extension of urea and monoammonium phosphate, diammonium the off-season rates apply to longer than expected exports. The introduction of the policy is conducive to domestic enterprises in urea and phosphate fertilizer exports, digest excess inventory and capacity, which will make the future of urea and phosphate fertilizer prices have warmed. But the sharp decline in international urea prices, so even if the lowering of tariffs, is still hard to smooth export.
Due to global Financial crisis The impact of the international fertilizer prices have fallen sharply, the current international price of urea is about 1,700 yuan / ton, the price of DAP is about 2,400 yuan / ton, the price here and then remove 10% of the provisional tariff and freight, the actual price will be close to or even slightly lower than the cost of product cost, so this off-season period to extend the export of chemical fertilizers, only ease the pressure on business inventories, and can not bring the level of fertilizer significantly increased corporate profits.
From the current domestic situation, so the production cost of urea, only coastal areas with gas prices the company can survive this. Therefore, urea is concerned, the tariff adjustment has little effect, play a decisive role of domestic and foreign prices is foreign Natural gas Prices, because prices of domestic anthracite relatively stable recently. Phosphate export prices of certain competitive tariff adjustments in the export competitiveness will be further enhanced.
Guotai Junan Securities Chemical industry Wei Tao, industry researchers believe that after the introduction of the policy adjustment, exports may be down substantially change the chemical phenomena, help enterprises to increase exports, exports unprofitable business conditions change. However, adjustment of export duty not only from the root of the problem, the current overcapacity in the domestic fertilizer industry, nearly 10 million tons, as well as millions of tons of the proposed project under construction, while the worldwide demand for fertilizers is very low, estimated this year’s global fertilizer consumption fell to 165 million tons, down 2.2%. The main reasons for the current overcapacity problem, mainly due to large investment projects of coal chemical industry and stimulating the local Economy Scale features, resulting in coal chemical projects have been started all over, with a number of cost advantages of the new project completed, will accelerate the phase-out the old production and integration.
From product prices, the basic conclusion of urea and ammonium phosphate prices have bottomed out, but the price will remain low in the further consolidation. With the off-season is expected to increase exports and traders to get the goods ready for the corn fertilizer, urea and ammonium phosphate prices in the next 1-2 months may see a small rebound, but the rate of increase will not be too much.
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